Kerala Opinion Poll 2016 – Assembly Election Prediction and Trends
Kerala Exit Polls
| Parties | Times Now- C Voter | AAJ Tak Axis | Newsx – Chanakya |
|---|---|---|---|
| INC+ | 56-62 | 38-48 | 57 |
| Left+ | 74-82 | 88-101 | 75 |
| BJP+ | 0-4 | 0-3 | 8 |
| Others/IND | 0-4 | 01-Apr | 0 |
Total seats in Kerala 140; Required to Win 71
Also check: Kerala Results
As per the above table; Left alliance is going to win the Kerala legislative elections while ruling INC might lose. All the exit polls like Chanakya, Times Now and Aaj Tak predicting that Left parties will manage to win 75 to 100 seats. Congress alliance might able to win 40 to 60 seats in elections and BJP might win maximum 8 seats in Kerala Vidhan Sabha.
| Alliance | India TV | India Today | Poll of Exit Polls |
|---|---|---|---|
| LDF | 78 | 94 | 80 |
| UDF | 58 | 43 | 57 |
| BJP+ | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Others/IND | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Seats to win in Kerala – 71
Latest Kerala exit polls conducted just after elections, predicting that LDF alliance is going to win the Kerala elections and INC supported UDF is losing in Kerala. Most of the surveys giving a good number of seats to LDF, the seat required to form the government in Kerala is 71. Currently, INC led UDF is ruling in Kerala. Around 70.4% voters used their votes in Kerala legislative assembly elections, which is a good sign.
Kerala Assembly Election Opinion Polls 2016 Conducted by Leading Media Channels and Survey Agencies
Voting for assembly election in Kerala has done on 16th May and Results will be declared on 19th May 2016. The political parties are trying their best to make sure to win the upcoming Kerala elections. However, the people of Kerala are the ones who will decide the winner of the assembly elections. We bring you the updated Kerala exit poll 2016 of assembly elections conducted by leading survey agencies. Find out the Kerala assembly election Opinion Poll by leading media houses.
Pre Election Opinion Polls
| Party/Alliance | Times Now-CVoter | India TV C-voter | Asianet Poll | Asianet Poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDF | 86 | 89 | 77 | 78 |
| UDF | 55 | 49 | 55 | 59 |
| BJP | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Others | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| Total Seats | 140 | 140 | 140 | 140 |
There are various opinion polls which are conducted by different news channels to get the trends and prediction of the fate to the parties. The polls are just a way to know which parties could be the leader, although it is just a survey and the prediction isn’t always right as we seen such predictions failing in the past.
Current Chief Minister of Kerala is Oommen Chandy of Indian National Congress (INC). Indian National Congress is the alliance of UDF (United Democratic Front) along with the Indian Union Muslim League, Kerala Congress (M), Revolutionary Socialist Party, Janata Dal (United) and Kerala Congress (Jacob). The main competitor of UDF is Left Democratic Front (LDF), who is going to win the 2016 assembly elections of Kerala as per opinion poll predictions. LDF alliance consists total eight parties, the parties are Communist Party of India (Marxist), Communist Party of India, Janata Dal (Secular), Nationalist Congress Party, Kerala Congress (Skaria Thomas), Indian Congress (Socialist), Indian National League and LDF Supported Independents.
Times Now-CVoter Opinion Poll:
The opinion poll conducted by Times now shows the domination of LDF claiming 86 seats, while UDF is the only competitor with 53 seats. NDA doesn’t seem to trouble any party with its share of 1 seat and other parties couldn’t manage to get even a single seat as per the Times Now-CVoter opinion poll.
| Alliance/Party | Projected Seat | Seat share (%) |
|---|---|---|
| LDF | 86 | 44 |
| UDF | 53 | 41 |
| NDA | 1 | 10 |
| Others | 0 | 5 |
India TV C-voter Opinion Polls
We can again see LDF fetching more than 85 seats in this opinion poll. UDF is behind it with 49 seats in total. BJP yet again opens it account with one seat and other parties seems to be winning one seat in this opinion poll.
| Alliance/Party | Projected Seat | Seat share (%) |
|---|---|---|
| LDF | 89 | 45 |
| UDF | 49 | 39 |
| NDA | 1 | 8 |
| Others | 1 | 8 |
Kerala Opinion Poll by Asianet Poll
The opinion poll conducted by Asianet news also suggests the similar kind of result. LDF is claiming 77-82 seats and LDF will settle for 55-60 seats in the Kerala assembly elections. NDA is expected to have 3-5 seats which are more than the prediction by other news opinion polls.
| Alliance/Party | Projected Seat | Seat share (%) |
|---|---|---|
| LDF | 77-82 | 41 |
| UDF | 55-60 | 37 |
| NDA | 3-5 | 18 |
| Others | 0 | 0 |
At this point, LDF looks like the leading party in all of the exit polls, with UDF behind it. In this assembly election of Kerala, BJP might leave its mark by winning its only seat. However, the opinion polls are just a way to predict the election results. The actual poll result may be completely different as these surveys are conducted on a limited number of people.
It is interesting to see whether current CM of Kerala Oommen Chandy will able to save his CM seat or not. As per the trends it is a difficult phase for UDF to retain the term in the fourteen assembly elections. There is some positive news for BJP (Bhartiya Janta Party), BJP is likely to win 3 to 5 seats. It is also predicted that BJP will eat up the voting share of Oommen Chandy led UDF. The vote share of BJP is constantly increasing from 2006 assembly elections. It is a good signal for BJP, we can say that it is the rise of BJP in Kerala. Mr. Narendra Modi of BJP is going to start his high voltage election campaign from Palakkad. So we can say that main completion in the Kerala assembly election will be in between UDF and LDF. These survey and Kerala opinion poll definitely put Indian National Congress in some tension. There is no scope for any other party or Alliance as per the latest surveys and trends.
These are just the predictions of Kerala assembly elections 2016 conducted by various news channels and survey agencies to know the opinion of voters. The final results could be entirely different.
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