Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2016 – Assembly Election Prediction and Trends

Tamil Nadu Exit Poll

Parties Times Now- C Voter AAJ Tak Axis Newsx – Chanakya
AIADMK 139 89-101 90
DMK+INC 78 124-40 140
BJP+ 0 0-3 0
Others/IND 17 4-8 4

Total seats in Tamil Nadu 234; Required to win 118

Check Tamil Nadu Results

There is a close fight between AIADMK and DMK+, exit polls are confused in predicting a winner in assembly elections. Chanakya exit poll and Aaj Tak Axis poll predicting that DMK and INC alliance is going to win 2016 Tamil Nadu assembly elections. Times Now C voter is predicting that AIADMK will retain the power for next 5 years again. BJP will able to win maximum 3 seats in the Tamil Nadu Vidhan Sabha elections.

TN Exit Polls

Alliance India Today News Nation C Voter Poll of Exit Polls
ADMK 95 97 139 110
DMK+ 132 116 78 109
BJP 1 1 0 0
Others/IND 6 20 17 15

118 seats are required to form the government in Tamil Nadu

Latest Tamil Nadu exit polls are predicting that Jayalalitha (Amma) might have to lose the power in Tamil Nadu, however, it would be a very close fight. India Today and News Nations are predicting that Jayalalitha’s ADMK will get around 100 seats while C voter predicts that Jaya will easily win the 139 seats in Tamil Nadu. Poll of Exit polls as per NDTV is predicting that there will be a close fight between AIADMK and DMK.

The opinion surveys conducted by various media houses are given below (Pre Elections):

Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections Opinion Poll 2016

Tamil Nadu assembly elections had conducted on 16th May 2016 and fate of candidates in 234 constituencies will be decided on 19th May. Party with more than 118 seats will claim a majority and can form its government. Tamil Nadu opinion polls are conducted by various news and media channels to give a better idea of the current situation.

Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2016 by Leading Media Agency and News Channels

Party/Alliance India TV-C Voter Loyola College News Nation Leadtech- Infoelections Times Now- C Voter
AIADMK 116 80 105 98 130
DMK+ 104 76 109 60 70
DMDK+ 16 1 19
BJP 0 7 0 46 0
Others 14 19 11 25
Total Seats 234 234 234

These exit polls are conducted on a limited number of people and they are just a prediction of results depending on their views.

Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2016
Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2016: AIADMK vs DMK

The current CM of Tamil Nadu is J. Jayalalithaa of AIADMK. She has already served five terms as a Chief Minister of Tamil Nadu. It will be a tough fight for her to retain her third consecutive term in this assembly election. The main competitions will be between AIADMK and DMK. It will be interesting to see that who will win Tamil Nadu election 2016.

You can also check the AIADMK Candidate List

Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll : India TV-CVoter

The India TV-CVote prediction says that AIADMK (All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam) will be the leading party in this election. This party is expected to win 116 seats this time. DMK (Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam) is following it with 104 seats. BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) will not be able to mark its presence, and others are expected to win 14 seats.

Party/Alliance Predicted Seats Vote %
AIADMK 116 41
DMK+ 101 40
BJP 0 2
Others 17 17
Total Seats 234

Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll: Loyola College

According to Loyola College survey, the results for AIADMK and DMK will be rather close. AIADMK is expected to win 80 seats and DMK with 76 seats. The DMDK and its allies will be able to get 16 seats this time. BJP will bag a total number of 7 seats in this election.

Party/Alliance Predicted Seats Vote %
AIADMK 80 34
DMK+ 76 32
DMDK+ 16 4
BJP 7 3
Total Seats 179

Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll: News Nation

Tamil Nadu opinion polls conducted by News Nation shows that AIADMK and DMK will share an almost same number of seats. AIADMK will conclude win on 105 seats whereas DMK will be having 109 seats in their bag. BJP will fail to win even a single seat, and DIDMK will be just ahead of BJP with 1 seat. Others will be having a share of 19 seats which is a good number.

Party/Alliance Predicted Seats Vote %
AIADMK 105 30
DMK+ 109 33
DMDK+ 0 22
BJP 1 3
Others 19 11
Total Seats 234

Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll: Times Now- C Voter

Times Now-C Voter survey predicts a majority for AIADMK, showing their win on 130 seats. DMK is expected to win 70 seats, which is giving a weak competition to Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK. BJP doesn’t seem to open their account with 0 seats in their basket. Others are expected to win 34 seats, which is a good number.

Party/Alliance Predicted Seats Vote %
AIADMK 130 39
DMK+ 70 32
BJP 0 4
Others 34 25
Total Seats 234

Tamil Nadu Election Results 2011

AIADMK won the 2011 assembly elections in Tamil Nadu by securing 150 seats out of 234 seats, while their main political competitor DMK managed to win only 23 seats. It was Jayalalithaa’s second consecutive win and total fifth win. She served her term as chief minister of Tamil Nadu for 5 times. It is interesting to know that M Karunanidhi of DMK also served as CM of Tamil Nadu for five times.

Also, know about West Bengal Opinion Poll

Political Party Name Seats
All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (AIADMK) 150
Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK) 29
Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam(DMK) 23
Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPM) 10
Communist Party of India (CPI) 9
Indian National Congress (INC) 5
Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) 3
Manithaneya Makkal Katchi (MMKA) 2
Puthiya Tamilagam (PT) 2
All India Forward Bloc (AIFB) 1
Total 234

Various opinion polls and surveys suggest the latest trends and predictions of Tamil Nadu assembly elections 2016. Most of the surveys are predicting that Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK will lead by a little margin over M Karunanidhi’s DMK. Surveys also predict that BJP might not be able to cross the double digits in terms of seats despite Modi effect. The leading parties are AIADMK and DMK among which the next CM will be decided, Other parties and Independent (IND) candidates will play a vital role in deciding the ruling party if none of the political partiy is able to secure a clear majority.

Also Read:

Tamil Nadu Candidate List for Assembly Elections 2016

BJP Candidate List for Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2016

DMK Candidate List for Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2016

AIADMK Candidate List for Tamil Nadu Vidhan Sabha Elections 2016

INC Candidate List for Tamil Nadu Vidhan Sabha (MLA) Elections 2016

Also Check

Kerala Opinion Poll

West Bengal Opinion Poll

Assam Opinion Poll

Puducherry Opinion Poll

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One thought on “Tamil Nadu Opinion Poll 2016 – Assembly Election Prediction and Trends

  • May 14, 2016 at 06:56

    Loyala prediction always pro DMK and reflects not doing in all constituency


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