Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh will be held in the beginning of 2017. Various agencies has also started conducting opinion poll surveys on UP election 2017. Voting will be carried out in seven phases. On 11 Feb, voting will take place in first phase and the last phase will have voting on 08 March. The election commission has declared the date of 11th March for counting of votes. Uttar Pradesh has the most number of assembly seats(403) in the country. Elections will be held on 403 seats and 202 seats are required for a majority in the elections. Have a look on UP opinion poll 2017.
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017
As per the opinion poll conducted by various survey agencies it is quite difficult to choose a clear winner in upcoming UP legislative assembly elections. The main battle of UP will be fought between BJP, BSP, INC and SP. The table shows the UP opinion poll prediction of a survey conducted in March 2016 by ABP News. The survey poll is showing the predictions of UP assembly elections if held today.
Latest Opinion Poll by India Today-Axis
|Party||Seat Share||Vote %|
The India Today-Axis has released a new opinion poll of UP elections. It is anticipating a clear majority for BJP in the elections. BJP is expected to win 206-216 seats which is above majority. SP’s tally of seat is reduced to 92-97 in the elections, a bad news for the ruling party. Mayawati’s BSP will win 79-85 seats, keeping them away from magical number of 203 seats. Congress is out of the contest with only 5-9 seats, very bad count for a national party. Others might bag 7-11 seats, as expected by India Today-Axis survey. Akhilesh has emerged as most popular CM in the state with 33 percent votes in survey. The opinion poll was conducted between October and December on a small sample of people.
UP Opinion Poll by ABP-CSDS and Lokniti
*This latest poll was released on 3 January 2017 and conducted on 5000 people of the 65 assembly constituencies of Uttar Pradesh from 5 to 17 December.
India Today-Axis My India UP Opinion Poll (Aaj Tak)
|Party||Seats||Vote Share %|
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by VDP Associates
Date: 1st October 2016
As per latest UP opinion poll by VDP Associates BJP might win 190 seats in upcoming polls, this makes it close to magical number (202). SP will win 111 seats and will remain second and unable to retain their CM post in 2017 elections. BSP will win around 87 seats and INC will win only 3 seats. Vote share is also predicted in recent survey of VDP Associates.
|Party Name||No. of Seats||% Share|
C Voter UP Opinion Poll
As per C-voter opinion survey BJP and SP will share the almost same number of seats and it predicts a hung assembly in upcoming elections. BSP will be on third spot and there is no hope for Congress. The poll was surveyed on 20462 voters of 403 assemblies. Poll was released on 2 September 2016.
|Party||2012 Seats||2016 Seats||Vote %|
Vote Percentage by Caste and Religion
Caste and religion always play a major role in the politics of UP. Check the vote share by caste and religion.
UP Opinion Poll by ‘My Mandate and Pratishtha Research’
|Party||Seat (2012)||Voting %||Seat (2017)||Voting %|
The opinion poll was conducted on a sample of 25,000 people throughout the State(Uttar Pradesh). It was conducted to get a rough prediction of the state election results which will be conducted in 2017. The survey suggests that BSP will be having 169 seats. The opinion poll predicts that Mayawati will be the prime choice of people across the state. BJP is present right behind BSP with 135 seats in the poll. The current CM is way behind and has only managed to secure 74 seats if survey is to be believed. The survey was conducted in all the four regions of Uttar Pradesh covering 46 assembly constituencies. The voters are moving towards Mayawati as next CM of the state, based on predictions but she is not in majority.
UP Opinion Poll by ABP News
As per the opinion poll survey Bahujan Samaj Party is going to win maximum number of seats (185) and it is very close to form the government. There is bad news for the ruling party of Uttar Pradesh, SP will be able to win only 80 seats if elections held today. There is some good news for BJP, BJP is clearly away from the majority of 202 seats. They will able to mange clinch victory on 120 seats as compared to 42 seats of 2012. There is a very bad news for Indian National Congress (INC), as per the survey INC will win only 13 seats as compare to 29 seats of 2012 elections of Uttar Pradesh. Independent and other party may win 5 seats.
|Party||Actual vote % in the 2012 election||Actual seats in the 2012 elections||Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016||Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016|
|SP (Samajwadi Party)||30.1||228||23||80|
|BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party)||24.8||80||31||185|
|BJP (Bhartiya Janta Party)||15.3||42||24||120|
|IND and Others||15||15||11||5|
|INC (Indian National Congress)||11.5||29||11||13|
|RLD (Rashtriya Janata Dal)||2.3||8||0||0|
|AD (Apna Dal)||1||1||0||0|
Take participation in online poll and know the result
|Party||Avadh Pradesh||Bundelkhand||Paschim Pradesh||Purvanchal||Total|
|IND and Others||0||0||2||3||5|
As per region, Paschim Uttar Pradesh has the most number of seats, followed by Purvanchal and all the major parties will try to win maximum number of seats from these regions.
UP Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates
|Seat Forecast in July 2016||Vote % Forecast in July 2016||Seats in 2012||Vote % in 2012|
|Party||Seats||Vote %||Seats||Vote %|
The VPD associates is an agency which conducts survey for various elections. According to the poll conducted by VPD associates in July, BSP is expected to win 165 seats. The BSP supremo Mayawati looks in a very good condition in UP. On the second number, BJP and alliances are anticipated to win 149 seats. SP is in a very bad condition with only 68 seats. Congress is almost out of the picture with a mere tally of 8 seats. If this survey is to be believed, Mayawati’s BSP will be in a better condition in upcoming Uttar Pradesh polls and SP will be out of power.
ABP News-Cicero Opinion Poll
Poll Detail:- The survey was conducted on 1000 people of the 10 assembly constituencies of UP on 24 July and 25 July 2016.
As per the ABP News-Cicero Poll, current CM Akhilesh Yadav is the most preferred candidate for the chief minister post with 28 % votes and Mayawati stands in second position with 25% votes. 17 percent people prefer Yogi Adityanath, 6 percent voter goes with Keshav Prasad Maurya and only 5 percent voters preferred Shiela Dikshit. 8% voters remained with other candidates and 11% didn’t share any opinion.
As per the poll, 32% voters predicted that BJP will form the government in upcoming elections. 26 percent and 24 percent went to Samajwadi party and Bahujan Samajwadi Party respectively. Only seven percent people predicted that INC will form the government. 7 percent people decided to keep quiet on this survey and 4% people gave a prediction of hung assembly.
As per ABP-Cicero Poll main issue of the elections will be Development and 51% people who were involved in the survey believed that Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will not able to bring Congress in Power. Only 19% stay remains with Priyanka Gandhi and 30% didn’t share the opinion.
Opinion Poll by Parliamentarian Magazine
A monthly magazine Parliamentarian conducted a latest opinion poll on a sample of 25,000 voters of Uttar Pradesh and as per the survey poll Samajwadi Party is going the lose the UP elections. As per the poll, performance of Akhilesh Yadav is rated good by 28%, average by 33% and bad by 39%. 28% voters want to see Mayawati as a next CM, 25% wants Akhilesh as a CM and surprisingly 23% people want Varun Gandhi as a CM.
ABP News-Lokniti Poll
As per ABP News Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) latest survey poll shows that 30% of voters will support SP, 27% will support BJP and 26% will support BSP in upcoming elections. As per the poll, only 5% voters will support Congress. As per the poll SP is likely to win 141-151 seats, BJP (124-134), BSP (103-113) and Congress (8-14) seats.
*The poll was conducted on 4000 people of UP in between 23 July to 7 August.
Two polls are also conducted in the month of July and August which predicts the vote share of all four major parties contesting UP elections.
ABVP-CSDS UP Opinion Poll
|Party||Vote Share Projections (%)|
|Party||Vote Share Projections (%)|
Also Read Punjab Opinion Poll 2017
These are just the predictions of elections and actual results of 2017 UP elections could be entirely different. Congress vote share might increase tremendously after declaring their CM candidate Sheila Dixit. UP voters always play an important role in the politics of the country, so it is interesting to see the results of the Uttar Pradesh opinion poll 2016 in next year’s assembly elections.
Opinion Polls 2017