Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh are scheduled in the beginning of 2017. Various agencies has also started conducting opinion poll surveys on UP election 2017. Voting is being carried out in seven phases. On 11 Feb, voting has taken place in first phase and the last phase will have voting on 08 March. The election commission has declared the date of 11th March for counting of votes. Uttar Pradesh has the most number of assembly seats(403) in the country. Elections are being held on 403 seats and 202 seats are required for a majority in the elections. Have a look on UP opinion poll 2017.
UP Opinion Poll Results
We have created a summary of various opinion surveys shared by many agencies till now. This summarized report gives a closer view.
|THE WEEK-Hansa Research||Jan-17||178-182||192-196||20-24||5-9|
|ABP-CSDS and Lokniti||Jan-17||154-170||129-139||93-103|
|India Today-Axis My India (Aaj Tak)||123-136||170-183||94-103||2-6|
|My Mandate and Pratishtha Research||July||89||135||169||10|
|ABP News-Lokniti Poll||Aug-16||149-165||124-134||103-113|
Most of the opinion survey agencies have already shared the Uttar Pradesh opinion polls 2017. These polls are a way to get an idea about the election results. Selected constituencies are covered while taking survey of a state, and a sample of people are asked about their views. This consolidated report is then shared as opinion poll of that particular state. being the biggest state in terms of population, UP opinion surveys have been shared by a large number of poll agencies. Some of the major agencies are CVoter, India Today-Axis (Aaj Tak), THE WEEK-Hansa Research, ABP News-Lokniti, Times Now, VDPAssociates, etc.
Chanakya opinion poll for Uttar Pradesh is still not shared. The UP Chanakya exit poll is anticipated to come in the second week of March, after completion of voting in all five states (8 March). This is one of the famous survey conducted by agency, and often shows a close guess. We are having a close watch on Chanakya exit poll survey for UP, and will share it once it is announced. Many other Uttar Pradesh assembly elections 2017 predictions are also expected to come out in future.
Key Updates Of First Phase of UP Elections
- Phase 1 voting was conducted on 11 February, 2017.
- Voter turnout was 64.2%, better than 2012.
Key Updates Of Second Phase of UP Elections
- Phase 2 voting was conducted on 15 February, 2017.
- Voter turnout was more than 65% in second phase of UP election.
Key Updates Of Third Phase of UP Elections
- Phase 3 Voting commenced on 19 February.
- Till 5 PM, voting percent was recorded as 61.16%.
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017
As per the opinion poll conducted by various survey agencies it is quite difficult to choose a clear winner in upcoming UP legislative assembly elections. The main battle of UP will be fought between BJP, BSP, INC and SP. The table shows the UP opinion poll prediction of a survey conducted in March 2016 by ABP News. The survey poll is showing the predictions of UP assembly elections if held today.
Latest India Today-Axis Survey Poll
Date: 31 January 2017
This survey was conducted on 25268 voters from 15 to 30 January 2017.
Latest UP Opinion Poll by Times Now-VMR Survey
|Party||Seats||Vote Share %|
Date: 30 January 2017
We have come across a new survey conducted by Times Now-VMR on 30 January. The opinion poll was conducted recently on a small sample of people. Latest Times Now-VM opinion poll predicts that BJP will be the winner in UP assembly elections 2017. As per survey, They are clear favourites and are expected to win on 202 seats, majority with 34 percent vote share. SP+Congress alliance will have 147 seats in their favor, with 31 percent vote share. BSP will stay on third position with only 47 seats and 24% vote share. RLD will get 7 seats with 11 percent vote share. The predictions favours BJP and BJP will win with majority as per this survey. The Most popular CM candidates is Akhilesh Yadav with 39 percent vote share.
Times Now VMR Survey – Most Popular CM Candidate
|CM Candidate Name||Voting Percentage (%)|
|Akhilesh Yadav (SP)||39|
|Yogi Adityanath (BJP)||16|
Check all candidates list for UP Polls 2017
Latest UP Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates
|Party||Seat Forecast||Vote Share %|
VDPAssociates has shared their latest survey on their twitter page, predicting Uttar Pradesh election results. The Survey is published at VDPAssociates Twitter account, on 29 January, 2017. Latest Uttar Pradesh Opinion poll by VDPAssociates was conducted on 9119 people. They have covered 41 districts, between 23 January to 28 January. Total number of 423 polling booths are covered in this opinion poll.
Bhartiya Janata Party is expected to get 35 percent of Vote share. Newly formed SP and Congress alliance will get 32 percent vote share, BSP will be third in vote share with 22 percent. The election results seems in favour of BJP alliance, as 207 seats is predicted to be won by BJP. As per survey, BJP will win with majority in UP elections. Congress and SP alliance will have 24 and 104 seats respectively in their account. BSP stays at third spot with 58 seats. The sky is not so bright for other parties, if the prediction of VDPAssociates is correct. As per Punjab opinion polls conducted by this agency, AAP will win Punjab Elections with clear majority.
Political Parties Caste Wise Share – Prediction by VDP Associates
Opinion Poll by THE WEEK-Hansa Research
Opinion poll shared by THE WEEK-Hansa Research has shared the surveys which were conducted in January. It throws some lights on upcoming Uttar Pradesh elections results. BJP emerges as most popular party with maximum number of seats ranging from 192 to 196. Recent SP and Congress alliance will be nearby with their tally of 178-182 seats. BSP finds no hope in upcoming elections and they will struggle with 20-24 seats only. Share of Independents might be as low as 5-9 seats. This opinion poll was shared on 26 January and it was conducted a week before publishing. The poll doesn’t show a green signal for any party in UP. However this is just a predictions, considering the fact that polls might not relate to actual results, as we have seen in the past.
Opinion Poll by India Today-Axis
|Party||Seat Share||Vote %|
The India Today-Axis has released a new opinion poll of UP elections. It is anticipating a clear majority for BJP in the elections. BJP is expected to win 206-216 seats which is above majority. SP’s tally of seat is reduced to 92-97 in the elections, a bad news for the ruling party. Mayawati’s BSP will win 79-85 seats, keeping them away from magical number of 203 seats. Congress is out of the contest with only 5-9 seats, very bad count for a national party. Others might bag 7-11 seats, as expected by India Today-Axis survey. Akhilesh has emerged as most popular CM in the state with 33 percent votes in survey. The opinion poll was conducted between October and December on a small sample of people.
UP Opinion Poll by ABP-CSDS and Lokniti
*This latest poll was released on 3 January 2017 and conducted on 5000 people of the 65 assembly constituencies of Uttar Pradesh from 5 to 17 December.
India Today-Axis My India UP Opinion Poll (Aaj Tak)
|Party||Seats||Vote Share %|
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by VDP Associates
Date: 1st October 2016
As per latest UP opinion poll by VDP Associates BJP might win 190 seats in upcoming polls, this makes it close to magical number (202). SP will win 111 seats and will remain second and unable to retain their CM post in 2017 elections. BSP will win around 87 seats and INC will win only 3 seats. Vote share is also predicted in recent survey of VDP Associates.
|Party Name||No. of Seats||% Share|
C Voter UP Opinion Poll
As per C-voter opinion survey BJP and SP will share the almost same number of seats and it predicts a hung assembly in upcoming elections. BSP will be on third spot and there is no hope for Congress. The poll was surveyed on 20462 voters of 403 assemblies. Poll was released on 2 September 2016.
|Party||2012 Seats||2016 Seats||Vote %|
Vote Percentage by Caste and Religion
Caste and religion always play a major role in the politics of UP. Check the vote share by caste and religion.
UP Opinion Poll by ‘My Mandate and Pratishtha Research’
|Party||Seat (2012)||Voting %||Seat (2017)||Voting %|
The opinion poll was conducted on a sample of 25,000 people throughout the State(Uttar Pradesh). It was conducted to get a rough prediction of the state election results which will be conducted in 2017. The survey suggests that BSP will be having 169 seats. The opinion poll predicts that Mayawati will be the prime choice of people across the state. BJP is present right behind BSP with 135 seats in the poll. The current CM is way behind and has only managed to secure 74 seats if survey is to be believed. The survey was conducted in all the four regions of Uttar Pradesh covering 46 assembly constituencies. The voters are moving towards Mayawati as next CM of the state, based on predictions but she is not in majority.
UP Opinion Poll by ABP News
As per the opinion poll survey Bahujan Samaj Party is going to win maximum number of seats (185) and it is very close to form the government. There is bad news for the ruling party of Uttar Pradesh, SP will be able to win only 80 seats if elections held today. There is some good news for BJP, BJP is clearly away from the majority of 202 seats. They will able to mange clinch victory on 120 seats as compared to 42 seats of 2012. There is a very bad news for Indian National Congress (INC), as per the survey INC will win only 13 seats as compare to 29 seats of 2012 elections of Uttar Pradesh. Independent and other party may win 5 seats.
|Party||Actual vote % in the 2012 election||Actual seats in the 2012 elections||Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016||Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016|
|SP (Samajwadi Party)||30.1||228||23||80|
|BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party)||24.8||80||31||185|
|BJP (Bhartiya Janta Party)||15.3||42||24||120|
|IND and Others||15||15||11||5|
|INC (Indian National Congress)||11.5||29||11||13|
|RLD (Rashtriya Janata Dal)||2.3||8||0||0|
|AD (Apna Dal)||1||1||0||0|
|Party||Avadh Pradesh||Bundelkhand||Paschim Pradesh||Purvanchal||Total|
|IND and Others||0||0||2||3||5|
As per region, Paschim Uttar Pradesh has the most number of seats, followed by Purvanchal and all the major parties will try to win maximum number of seats from these regions.
UP Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates
|Seat Forecast in July 2016||Vote % Forecast in July 2016||Seats in 2012||Vote % in 2012|
|Party||Seats||Vote %||Seats||Vote %|
The VPD associates is an agency which conducts survey for various elections. According to the poll conducted by VPD associates in July, BSP is expected to win 165 seats. The BSP supremo Mayawati looks in a very good condition in UP. On the second number, BJP and alliances are anticipated to win 149 seats. SP is in a very bad condition with only 68 seats. Congress is almost out of the picture with a mere tally of 8 seats. If this survey is to be believed, Mayawati’s BSP will be in a better condition in upcoming Uttar Pradesh polls and SP will be out of power.
ABP News-Cicero Opinion Poll
Poll Detail:- The survey was conducted on 1000 people of the 10 assembly constituencies of UP on 24 July and 25 July 2016.
As per the ABP News-Cicero Poll, current CM Akhilesh Yadav is the most preferred candidate for the chief minister post with 28 % votes and Mayawati stands in second position with 25% votes. 17 percent people prefer Yogi Adityanath, 6 percent voter goes with Keshav Prasad Maurya and only 5 percent voters preferred Shiela Dikshit. 8% voters remained with other candidates and 11% didn’t share any opinion.
As per the poll, 32% voters predicted that BJP will form the government in upcoming elections. 26 percent and 24 percent went to Samajwadi party and Bahujan Samajwadi Party respectively. Only seven percent people predicted that INC will form the government. 7 percent people decided to keep quiet on this survey and 4% people gave a prediction of hung assembly.
As per ABP-Cicero Poll main issue of the elections will be Development and 51% people who were involved in the survey believed that Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will not able to bring Congress in Power. Only 19% stay remains with Priyanka Gandhi and 30% didn’t share the opinion.
Opinion Poll by Parliamentarian Magazine
A monthly magazine Parliamentarian conducted a latest opinion poll on a sample of 25,000 voters of Uttar Pradesh and as per the survey poll Samajwadi Party is going the lose the UP elections. As per the poll, performance of Akhilesh Yadav is rated good by 28%, average by 33% and bad by 39%. 28% voters want to see Mayawati as a next CM, 25% wants Akhilesh as a CM and surprisingly 23% people want Varun Gandhi as a CM.
ABP News-Lokniti Poll
As per ABP News Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) latest survey poll shows that 30% of voters will support SP, 27% will support BJP and 26% will support BSP in upcoming elections. As per the poll, only 5% voters will support Congress. As per the poll SP is likely to win 141-151 seats, BJP (124-134), BSP (103-113) and Congress (8-14) seats.
*The poll was conducted on 4000 people of UP in between 23 July to 7 August.
Two polls are also conducted in the month of July and August which predicts the vote share of all four major parties contesting UP elections.
ABVP-CSDS UP Opinion Poll
|Party||Vote Share Projections (%)|
|Party||Vote Share Projections (%)|
Also Read Punjab Opinion Poll 2017
These are just the predictions of elections and actual results of 2017 UP elections could be entirely different. Congress vote share might increase tremendously after declaring their CM candidate Sheila Dixit. UP voters always play an important role in the politics of the country, so it is interesting to see the results of the Uttar Pradesh opinion poll 2016 in next year’s assembly elections.
Opinion Polls 2017