Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh will be held in the beginning of 2017. Various agencies has also started conducting opinion poll surveys on UP election 2017. Voting will be carried out in seven phases. On 11 Feb, voting will take place in first phase and the last phase will have voting on 08 March. The election commission has declared the date of 11th March for counting of votes. Uttar Pradesh has the most number of assembly seats(403)  in the country. Elections will be held on 403 seats and 202 seats are required for a majority in the elections. Have a look on UP opinion poll 2017.

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

As per the opinion poll conducted by various survey agencies it is quite difficult to choose a clear winner in upcoming UP legislative assembly elections. The main battle of UP will be fought between BJP, BSP, INC and SP. The table shows the UP opinion poll prediction of a survey conducted in March 2016 by ABP News. The survey poll is showing the predictions of UP assembly elections if held today.

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

Latest Opinion Poll by India Today-Axis

Party Seat Share Vote %
BJP 206-216 33
SP 92-97 26
BSP 79-85 26
Congress 5-9 6
Others 7-11 9

The India Today-Axis has released a new opinion poll of UP elections. It is anticipating a clear majority for BJP in the elections. BJP is expected to win 206-216 seats which is above majority. SP’s tally of seat is reduced to 92-97 in the elections, a bad news for the ruling party. Mayawati’s BSP will win 79-85 seats, keeping them away from magical number of 203 seats. Congress is out of the contest with only 5-9 seats, very bad count for a national party. Others might bag 7-11 seats, as expected by India Today-Axis survey. Akhilesh has emerged as most popular CM in the state with 33 percent votes in survey. The opinion poll was conducted between October and December on a small sample of people.

UP Opinion Poll by ABP-CSDS and Lokniti

Party Seats
SP 141-151
BJP 129-139
BSP 93-103
INC 13-19

*This latest poll was released on 3 January 2017 and conducted on 5000 people of the 65 assembly constituencies of Uttar Pradesh from 5 to 17 December.

Check Complete Survey Result

India Today-Axis My India UP Opinion Poll (Aaj Tak)

Party Seats Vote Share %
BJP 170-183 31
SP 115-124 25
BSP 94-103 28
INC 8-12 6
Others 2-6 10

Check full survey here

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by VDP Associates

Date: 1st October 2016

As per latest UP opinion poll by VDP Associates BJP might win 190 seats in upcoming polls, this makes it close to magical number (202). SP will win 111 seats and will remain second and unable to retain their CM post in 2017 elections. BSP will win around 87 seats and INC will win only 3 seats. Vote share is also predicted in recent survey of VDP Associates.

Party Name No. of Seats % Share
BJP 190 31%
SP 111 27%
BSP 87 24%
INC 5 5%

C Voter UP Opinion Poll





As per C-voter opinion survey BJP and SP will share the almost same number of seats and it predicts a hung assembly in upcoming elections. BSP will be on third spot and there is no hope for Congress. The poll was surveyed on 20462 voters of 403 assemblies. Poll was released on 2 September 2016.

Party 2012 Seats 2016 Seats Vote %
BJP 47 134-150 27.79%
SP 224 133-149 27.51%
BSP 80 95-111 25.44%
INC 28  5-13 6.19%
Others 27  4-12 7.00%

Vote Percentage by Caste and Religion

Caste and religion always play a major role in the politics of UP. Check the vote share by caste and religion.

Caste /Religion INC BJP BSP SP Others
Muslims 12.60% 2.70% 21.70% 50.20% 12.80%
Brahmins 10.80% 53.70% 10.30% 14.00% 11.20%
Thakur/Rajput 3.80% 54.40% 9.90% 19.40% 12.50%
Kaystha 4.60% 44.30% 6.90% 22.90% 21.40%
Vaishya/Baniya 5.80% 61.40% 6.80% 16.40% 9.60%
Dalits 5.30% 25.70% 44.20% 14.50% 10.20%
Yadavs 1.60% 12.10% 10.70% 65.60% 10.00%
Kurmi 1.30% 46.40% 8.90% 27.40% 16.10%
Jaat 1.40% 37.90% 16.50% 7.40% 36.70%
OBC (Others) 4.60% 39.50% 15.80% 23.40% 16.70%




UP Opinion Poll by ‘My Mandate and Pratishtha Research’

Party Seat (2012) Voting % Seat (2017) Voting %
SP 224 29 74 24
BSP 80 25 169 34
BJP 47 15 135 30
INC 28 12 15 10
Others 24 19 10 2
Total 403 100 403 100

The opinion poll was conducted on a sample of 25,000 people throughout the State(Uttar Pradesh). It was conducted to get a rough prediction of the state election results which will be conducted in 2017. The survey suggests that BSP will be having 169 seats. The opinion poll predicts that Mayawati will be the prime choice of people across the state. BJP is present right behind BSP with 135 seats in the poll. The current CM is way behind and has only managed to secure 74 seats if survey is to be believed. The survey was conducted in all the four regions of Uttar Pradesh covering 46 assembly constituencies. The voters are moving towards Mayawati as next CM of the state, based on predictions but she is not in majority.

UP Opinion Poll by ABP News

As per the opinion poll survey Bahujan Samaj Party is going to win maximum number of seats (185) and it is very close to form the government. There is bad news for the ruling party of Uttar Pradesh, SP will be able to win only 80 seats if elections held today. There is some good news for BJP, BJP is clearly away from the majority of 202 seats. They will able to mange clinch victory on 120 seats as compared to 42 seats of 2012. There is a very bad news for Indian National Congress (INC), as per the survey INC will win only 13 seats as compare to 29 seats of 2012 elections of Uttar Pradesh. Independent and other party may win 5 seats.

Party Actual vote % in the 2012 election Actual seats in the 2012 elections Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016 Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016
SP (Samajwadi Party) 30.1 228 23 80
BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party) 24.8 80 31 185
BJP (Bhartiya Janta Party) 15.3 42 24 120
IND and Others 15 15 11 5
INC (Indian National Congress) 11.5 29 11 13
RLD (Rashtriya Janata Dal) 2.3 8 0 0
AD (Apna Dal) 1 1 0 0
Total 100 403 100 403
UP Opinion Poll Pie Chart based on ABP News Survey
UP Opinion Poll Pie Chart based on ABP News Survey


Take participation in online poll and know the result

Who will win UP Elections 2017?

    Region-wise Break-up

    Party Avadh Pradesh Bundelkhand Paschim Pradesh Purvanchal Total
    BJP+ 19 5 32 64 120
    BSP 31 11 30 63 185
    INC+ 1 1 3 8 13
    SP 12 2 23 38 80
    IND and Others 0 0 2 3 5
    Total 63 19 145 176 403





    As per region, Paschim Uttar Pradesh has the most number of seats, followed by Purvanchal and all the major parties will try to win maximum number of seats from these regions.

    UP Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates

    Seat Forecast in July 2016 Vote % Forecast in July 2016 Seats in 2012 Vote % in 2012
    Party Seats Vote % Seats Vote %
    BSP 165 29.8 80 25.9
    BJP+ 149 28.5 47 15
    SP 68 22 224 29.1
    INC 8 8.1 28 11.6
    Total 390 88.4 379 81.6

    The VPD associates is an agency which conducts survey for various elections. According to the poll conducted by VPD associates in July, BSP is expected to win 165 seats. The BSP supremo Mayawati looks in a very good condition in UP. On the second number, BJP and alliances are anticipated to win 149 seats. SP is in a very bad condition with only 68 seats. Congress is almost out of the picture with a mere tally of 8 seats. If this survey is to be believed, Mayawati’s BSP will be in a better condition in upcoming Uttar Pradesh polls and SP will be out of power.

    ABP News-Cicero Opinion Poll

    Poll Detail:- The survey was conducted on 1000 people of the 10 assembly constituencies of UP on 24 July and 25 July 2016.

    As per the ABP News-Cicero Poll, current CM Akhilesh Yadav is the most preferred candidate for the chief minister post with 28 % votes and Mayawati stands in second position with 25% votes. 17 percent people prefer Yogi Adityanath, 6 percent voter goes with Keshav Prasad Maurya and only 5 percent voters preferred Shiela Dikshit. 8% voters remained with other candidates and 11% didn’t share any opinion.

    UP Chief Ministers List

    As per the poll, 32% voters predicted that BJP will form the government in upcoming elections. 26 percent and 24 percent went to Samajwadi party and Bahujan Samajwadi Party respectively. Only seven percent people predicted that INC will form the government. 7 percent people decided to keep quiet on this survey and 4% people gave a prediction of hung assembly.

    As per ABP-Cicero Poll main issue of the elections will be Development and 51% people who were involved in the survey believed that Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will not able to bring Congress in Power. Only 19% stay remains with Priyanka Gandhi and 30% didn’t share the opinion.

    Opinion Poll by Parliamentarian Magazine

    Party Seat Projection
    SP 150
    BSP 89
    BJP 88
    INC 13

    A monthly magazine Parliamentarian conducted a latest opinion poll on a sample of 25,000 voters of Uttar Pradesh and as per the survey poll Samajwadi Party is going the lose the UP elections. As per the poll, performance of Akhilesh Yadav is rated good by 28%, average by 33% and bad by 39%. 28% voters want to see Mayawati as a next CM, 25% wants Akhilesh as a CM and surprisingly 23% people want Varun Gandhi as a CM.

    ABP News-Lokniti Poll

    Party Seats Vote %
    SP 141-151 30
    BJP 124-134 27
    BSP 103-113 26
    INC 8-14 5

    As per ABP News Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) latest survey poll shows that 30% of voters will support SP, 27% will support BJP and 26% will support BSP in upcoming elections. As per the poll, only 5% voters will support Congress. As per the poll SP is likely to win 141-151 seats, BJP (124-134), BSP (103-113) and Congress (8-14) seats.

    *The poll was conducted on 4000 people of UP in between 23 July to 7 August.

    Two polls are also conducted in the month of July and August which predicts the vote share of all four major parties contesting UP elections.

    ABVP-CSDS UP Opinion Poll

    Party Vote Share Projections (%)
    SP 30
    BJP 27
    BSP 26
    INC 5

    HuffingtonPost-CVoter Poll

    Party Vote Share Projections (%)
    SP 27.51
    BJP 27.79
    BSP 25.44
    INC 6.19

    Also Read Punjab Opinion Poll 2017

    These are just the predictions of elections and actual results of 2017 UP elections could be entirely different. Congress vote share might increase tremendously after declaring their CM candidate Sheila Dixit. UP voters always play an important role in the politics of the country, so it is interesting to see the results of the Uttar Pradesh opinion poll 2016 in next year’s assembly elections.

    Also Check

    Uttar Pradesh Elections 2017
    Uttar Pradesh Assembly Constituencies
    BSP Candidates List 2017
    BJP Candidates List
    INC Candidates List
    SP Candidates List

    Opinion Polls 2017

    Uttarakhand Opinion Poll 2017
    Punjab Opinion Poll
    Goa Opinion Poll
    Manipur Opinion Poll
    Gujarat Opinion Poll



    56 thoughts on “Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

    1. Peeyush Kumar September 17, 2016 at 15:35

      If we realy want that our country rise economically,our defence must improve,country should be cruption free we should give strenth to Narender Modi,he is a man whose total attention to make India self dependen and he is a good administrator but by heart is a sant.

      • anshul rajoria January 17, 2017 at 12:48

        agree

      • orky January 22, 2017 at 19:33

        Modi making fool of eveyone those who have knowledge of politics they know better who is Mr Modi , he is a kutputli of RSS He is helping big indutralists and he is not for poor people

    2. alka September 25, 2016 at 09:21

      Akhilesh yadav should be the next c.m.of u.p. The political parties don’t do anything for u.p.for so many years..even Gandhi family never come to see even Allahabad or its’ murti’ making mayawati with so many gundas in her party I don’t understand why people appreciate for good governance..she is like torture and so much of show off..even b.j.p.at there times did nothing for u.p.after seeing akhilesh’s work they say they will develop u.p.
      It was akhilesh and his powerful mind he gave us more medical colleges free medical check ups I.T CITY in Lucknow the express way ..large world class stadium in Lucknow and many more ..
      It was because of the political hands of his father that he might not have worked upto the mark but recent evidences showed that he will have important role in making decisions if he is selected again..
      Even beyond MY factor his thoughts are to get support of every caste ..
      He can do better if people thinking goes beyond caste barriers..

    3. Harishankar Tripathi October 14, 2016 at 09:39

      No doubt Akhilesh as the youngest CM has attracted all youth generation along with remarkable development in almost major and minor districts of UP. But I would suggest he should extend hand with BJP in rapid development of the country along with experience, dashing revolutionary, Sabka Saath Sab Ka Vikas idea of our great PM Narendra Modi . I believe he should get merge with BJP and take UP in leaps and bounce. Kick side the BSP and congress. As congress always keep country in debt and without any grow. Modiji brought India from Backest foot to the most front foot.
      Think not for self but for nation. After 60 yrs. nation feel fortunate to get service by NAMO.
      This is my folded hand request and thought.

    4. sumit sharma October 22, 2016 at 10:43

      2017 up election main bjp ko win hona hai toh ye Nara janta ko dena hoga — har Ghar se aayegi ek hi awaj abki bar yuva sarkar

    5. ranjeet November 24, 2016 at 13:14

      no doubts …….in 2017 up election ….akhilesh yadav will be next c.m …

    6. anand prakash khosya November 24, 2016 at 13:23

      In UP S P is single largest party in poll of 2017 assembly election

    7. hemant dubey November 26, 2016 at 23:17

      Agar jatibad aur parivarbad se upar uthkar rashtrabad ke marg par chalana h to bjp ko hi vote karna chahie

      • nikhil November 28, 2016 at 10:59

        hemant aap bhi toh jaatiwaad pe hi bol rhe ho.. aap kyu vote ni daal dete bsp ko.. jaatiwaad yeh hai ki aapki maansikta aisi ki kisi bhi lower ko vote na daalni

        • Manish January 4, 2017 at 09:49

          We have seen both BSP & SP for years, now its time for change. We should go ahead with BJP for betterment of Uttar Pradesh……. Its long time we common people have suffered due to both SP & BSP. Come on brothers lets join hand to make better Uttar Pradesh for future.

        • AKHTAR January 5, 2017 at 18:48

          you are right

    8. kamlesh December 27, 2016 at 17:16

      Akhilesh yadav should be the next c.m.of u.p he doing well as compare to other big Party

    9. sukhbir December 27, 2016 at 23:33

      congress will win 87 seats in u.p. elections 2017 in assembly polls.

    10. vivek Raj Patel December 28, 2016 at 12:58

      akhilesh yadav ne bas naukri court me di hai …Taki sab drte rhe ki Rdd no jaye isliye vote dena majburi h.. koi .ek bhrti asi bta di jay jo shi hui ho…

    11. vivek Raj Patel December 28, 2016 at 13:00

      Meri to Ye smj me nhi ata Log Vikas party khte ye to vinas party ho rhi

    12. Vinod Nair December 28, 2016 at 19:15

      Lets the Akhilesh and Mayawati lost. Rajnath Singh will be the next CM of UP. Wait and watch …….

    13. Anish December 28, 2016 at 23:07

      Agar apko aarachhan chahiye to bsp ko hi vote de

    14. uday raj December 28, 2016 at 23:14

      Sc .st or obs ko aarachhan chahiye job karni h to plz vote BSP ko hi de
      Aap sabhi dalito se nivedan h krpya es comment ka palan kare

    15. Sitaram Gautam December 28, 2016 at 23:18

      Bahan Ku. Mayawati should be 5 bar c.m banegi
      Kaha pade ho chakar me koi nahi hai Takkar me..
      India ki sabse Badi parti Bsp only…
      By
      Sitaram Gautam
      Sitapur

    16. Sitaram Gautam December 28, 2016 at 23:25

      Mayawati dhold be 5 bar c.m banegi
      Up ki sabse badi parti hai…
      Kaha pace ho chakar me. Koi nahi hai Takkar me..
      By
      Sitaram Gautam
      From . sitapur

    17. anish ku.ar December 28, 2016 at 23:28

      Hame aarachhan chahiye bhai ham to bsp KO vote dege

    18. Lankeshwsr Gautam December 28, 2016 at 23:30

      Agr gunda raj bharstachar khatam karna hai to… Gunda Mukt Pradesh chahiye to BSp ko jitana hai aor Bahan ji ko 5 bar c.m banana hai,..

    19. Arpit December 30, 2016 at 11:48

      No doubt BSP will win 300+seat and mayavati will become the next. CM

    20. Khan December 31, 2016 at 11:00

      AKHLESH YADAV IS BEST… Baki sare doubt m

    21. raj January 1, 2017 at 19:13

      BJP is going to win UP .

    22. raj January 1, 2017 at 19:14

      BSP , SP , Cong all are corrupt parties . UP will give magical figure to Modi jee once again .

    23. raj January 1, 2017 at 19:17

      Samajwadi has become pariwar party like Congress Gandhi pariwar .

    24. abhishek January 1, 2017 at 19:57

      Next c.m only “MAYAVATI JI “

    25. abhishek January 1, 2017 at 19:58

      Only MAYAVATI

    26. Manoj January 2, 2017 at 21:04

      Mayawati next cm

    27. Ashok Gautam January 2, 2017 at 22:31

      No doubt in vahin kumari mayavati ji UP Ki 5 var CM vanegi. Bsp UP me 300+ Seat par jeet rahi hai

    28. Manoj yadav January 4, 2017 at 08:54

      Akhilesh Yadav win in up

    29. Ashish yadav January 4, 2017 at 11:51

      Dosto apni jaat paat or dhram ko bhuul kr BJP ko vote de or UP mai Kamal khilaaye…BJP laaye Desh bachaee..

    30. surender January 4, 2017 at 12:18

      Only bsp

    31. Ravi January 4, 2017 at 15:05

      Kabhi to jatiwad aur pariwarwad se upar utho aapke yaha jitne bhi chunav lade unme se Jo lage ki a aapka awaj banega use vote karo na ki sp bsp aur bjp me fase rahe got it…

    32. Kuldeep Kumar January 4, 2017 at 21:19

      I vote for bsp

    33. jaydeep January 4, 2017 at 21:46

      BSP zidabaad seat for 275 jay Maya
      चढ़ गुण्डो की छाती पर बटन दबेगी।हाथी पर

    34. AKHTAR January 5, 2017 at 18:50

      i don’t say any particular party – give vote to only GOOD PERSON

    35. gaurav singh January 5, 2017 at 21:49

      Is bar bjp me sarkar aa rahi hai mere dosto. I like bjp

    36. Gajendra saxena January 6, 2017 at 14:57

      BJP jindabad bjp lao desh bacho “Gajendra saxena” modi ne gareebi dekhe hai

    37. MOSIN QUREASHI January 8, 2017 at 20:01

      Dosto bsp ki sarkar aane wali hai dosto

    38. mosin Qureashi January 8, 2017 at 20:05

      Aapki baar mayawati ji ko cm banav bahi logo

    39. K.V. Mohanan January 9, 2017 at 09:44

      Akhilesh Yadav should be the next CM of U.P. He is young and a gentleman and his rule is very good. He has proved himself to be the best CM UP ever had. He has shown their place for the gunda elements of UP. He is undoubtedly a Prime Minister material and he will become the PM of the Country. He is far better than Modi.

    40. vivek Raj Patel January 11, 2017 at 15:09

      is smy up me yhi ho rha h .Godhe ko nhi h ghass gdha khye chwanprass….ye sarkar chl rhi h

    41. s chandra January 11, 2017 at 21:14

      if akhilesh has done well why all young landed in other state for job of helper security guard etc

    42. BrijKishor Dubey January 12, 2017 at 20:25

      Akhilesh yadav will be upcm again in2107 .
      Kyuki KAM BOLTA HAI sirf muh hi nhi dusroo ki tarah

    43. DURGESH KUMAR PANDEY January 15, 2017 at 22:57

      Main kyon vote dun kisi aur party ko ONLY FRESH party BJP JISME DAM HAI DUNIYA BADALNE KI SO PLZZZZZZZZZZ.VOTE FOR BJP DIL SE DIMAG SE SAMMAN SE

    44. Bhagwan January 16, 2017 at 20:00

      SP is a M Y party only. This party take mamimum vote of Muslims but developed only for yadav. 70% Vacanceyes fill up by yadav and only 2% by Muslims. Now Muslims are aware and go with BJP. In BJp maximum benefit of poor people which belonging maximums Muslims as reported by suchchar committee.

    45. Sudhir January 18, 2017 at 22:43

      Bsp will win Jai bsp.jo park ke liye khete h bhenji ko unko 3600 crore ki Shivaji aur sardar Patel ji ki Murti nahi dikhti h.wo hamara samaan.sab apne ko Vikas ka Papa bataye h.vikas toh mein bhi kur Dunga mujhe cm bana do

    46. sp January 20, 2017 at 14:08

      sp coming

    47. nagu January 20, 2017 at 14:10

      if akhilesh has done well why all young landed in other state for job of helper security guard etc

    48. nagu January 20, 2017 at 14:10

      AKHLESH YADAV IS BEST… Baki sare doubt m

    49. Rahil Tripathi January 20, 2017 at 17:11

      क्यों थक रहे हो !
      ईस बार प्रदेश मे सीर्फ बहनजी का हाथी धमाल मचायेगा !
      यूपी से गूंडाराज हटाना है ; तो बहनजी को वोट देना पडेगा.
      #BSPtheUltimateWinner2017

    50. Sid Allrounder January 20, 2017 at 17:14

      MAYAWATI THE ULTIMATE WINNER OF UP ECECTIONS 2017

    51. kauhsik January 22, 2017 at 18:27

      bjp

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