Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

Assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh will be held at the beginning of 2017. We are hoping that the election commission of India will issue a notification in November 2016 for the UP elections. Uttar Pradesh has the most number of assembly seats, the elections will be held on 403 seats and 202 seats are required for a majority in the elections. Have a look on UP opinion poll 2017.

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

As per the opinion poll conducted by various survey agencies it is quite difficult to choose a clear winner in upcoming UP legislative assembly elections. The main battle of UP will be fight between BJP, BSP, INC and SP. The table shows the UP opinion poll prediction of a survey conducted in March 2016 by ABP News. The survey poll is showing the predictions of UP assembly elections if held today.

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017
Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

India Today-Axis My India UP Opinion Poll (Aaj Tak)

Party Seats Vote Share %
BJP 170-183 31
SP 115-124 25
BSP 94-103 28
INC 8-12 6
Others 2-6 10

Check full survey here

Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll by VDP Associates

Date: 1st October 2016

As per latest UP opinion poll by VDP Associates BJP might win 190 seats in upcoming polls, this makes close magical number (202). SP will win 111 seats and remained second and unable to retain their CM post in 2017 elections. BSP will win around 87 seats and INC will win only 3 seats. Vote share also predicted in recent survey of VDP Associates.

Party Name No. of Seats % Share
BJP 190 31%
SP 111 27%
BSP 87 24%
INC 5 5%

C Voter UP Opinion Poll

As per C-voter opinion survey BJP and SP will share the almost same number of seats and it predicts a hung assembly in upcoming elections. BSP will be on third spot and no hope for Congress. The poll was surveyed on 20462 voters of 403 assemblies. Poll was released om 2 September 2016.

Party 2012 Seats 2016 Seats Vote %
BJP 47 134-150 27.79%
SP 224 133-149 27.51%
BSP 80 95-111 25.44%
INC 28  5-13 6.19%
Others 27  4-12 7.00%

Vote Percentage by Caste and Religion

Caste and religion always play a majot role in the politics of UP. Check the vote share by caste and religion.

Caste /Religion INC BJP BSP SP Others
Muslims 12.60% 2.70% 21.70% 50.20% 12.80%
Brahmins 10.80% 53.70% 10.30% 14.00% 11.20%
Thakur/Rajput 3.80% 54.40% 9.90% 19.40% 12.50%
Kaystha 4.60% 44.30% 6.90% 22.90% 21.40%
Vaishya/Baniya 5.80% 61.40% 6.80% 16.40% 9.60%
Dalits 5.30% 25.70% 44.20% 14.50% 10.20%
Yadavs 1.60% 12.10% 10.70% 65.60% 10.00%
Kurmi 1.30% 46.40% 8.90% 27.40% 16.10%
Jaat 1.40% 37.90% 16.50% 7.40% 36.70%
OBC (Others) 4.60% 39.50% 15.80% 23.40% 16.70%

UP Opinion Poll by ABP News

Party Actual vote % in the 2012 election Actual seats in the 2012 elections Forecast vote % as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016 Forecast Seats as per Opinion Poll Mar 2016
SP (Samajwadi Party) 30.1 228 23 80
BSP (Bahujan Samaj Party) 24.8 80 31 185
BJP (Bhartiya Janta Party) 15.3 42 24 120
IND and Others 15 15 11 5
INC (Indian National Congress) 11.5 29 11 13
RLD (Rashtriya Janata Dal) 2.3 8 0 0
AD (Apna Dal) 1 1 0 0
Total 100 403 100 403

As per the opinion poll survey Bahujan Samaj Party is going to win maximum number of seats (185) and it is very close to form the government. There is bad news for the ruling party of Uttar Pradesh, SP will be able to win only 80 if elections held today. There is some good news for BJP, BJP is clearly away from the majority of 202 seats. They able to mange clinch victory on 120 seats as compared to 42 seats of 2012. There is a very bad news for Indian National Congress (INC), as per the survey INC will win only 13 seats as compare to 29 seats of 2012 elections of Uttar Pradesh. Independent and other party may win 5 seats.

Take participation in online poll and know the result

Who will UP Elections 2017?

    Region-wise Break-up

    Party Avadh Pradesh Bundelkhand Paschim Pradesh Purvanchal Total
    BJP+ 19 5 32 64 120
    BSP 31 11 30 63 185
    INC+ 1 1 3 8 13
    SP 12 2 23 38 80
    IND and Others 0 0 2 3 5
    Total 63 19 145 176 403

    As per region Paschim Uttar Pradesh has the most number of seats, followed by Purvanchal and all major parties try to win maximum number of seats from these regions.

    UP Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates

    Seat Forecast in July 2016 Vote % Forecast in July 2016 Seats in 2012 Vote % in 2012
    Party Seats Vote % Seats Vote %
    BSP 165 29.8 80 25.9
    BJP+ 149 28.5 47 15
    SP 68 22 224 29.1
    INC 8 8.1 28 11.6
    Total 390 88.4 379 81.6

    As per the VDPAssociates Opinion Poll BSP is going to win maximum number of seats (165) and BJP alliance will manage to win 149 seats. The main fight is between BSP and BJP. Ruling party is going to win mere 68 seats and there is a very bad news for the INC, the survey gave only 8 seats to INC.

    ABP News-Cicero Opinion Poll

    Poll Detail:- The survey was conducted on 1000 people of the 10 assembly constituencies of UP on 24 July and 25 July 2016.

    As per the ABP News-Cicero Poll current CM Akhilesh Yadav is the most preferred candidate for the chief minister post with 28 % votes and Mayawati stands in second position with 25% votes. 17 percent people prefer Yogi Adityanath, 6 percent voter goes with Keshav Prasad Maurya and only 5 percent voters preferred Shiela Dikshit. 8% voters remained with other candidates and 11% didn’t share any opinion.

    UP Chief Ministers List

    As per the poll, 32% voters predicted that BJP will form the government in upcoming elections. 26 percent and 24 percent went to Samajwadi party and Bahujan Samajwadi Party respectively. Only seven percent people predicted that INC will form the government. 7 percent people decide to keep quiet on this survey and 4% people gave a prediction of hung assembly.

    As per ABP-Cicero Poll main issue of the elections will be Development and 51% people who were involved in the survey believed that Priyanka Gandhi Vadra will not able to bring Congress in Power. Only 19% stay remains with Priyanka Gandhi and 30% didn’t share the opinion.

    Opinion Poll by Parliamentarian Magazine

    Party Seat Projection
    SP 150
    BSP 89
    BJP 88
    INC 13

    A monthly magazine Parliamentarian conducted a latest opinion poll on a sample of 25,000 voters of Uttar Pradesh and as per the survey poll Samajwadi Party is going the lose the UP elections. As per the poll, performance of Akhilesh Yadav rated good by 28%, average by 33% and bad by 39%. 28% voters want to see Mayawati as a next CM, 25% want Akhilesh as a CM and surprisingly 23% people want Varun Gandhi as a CM.

    ABP News-Lokniti Poll

    Party Seats Vote %
    SP 141-151 30
    BJP 124-134 27
    BSP 103-113 26
    INC 8-14 5

    As per ABP News Lokniti, Centre for the Study of Developing Societies (CSDS) latest survey poll shows that 30% of voters will support SP, 27% will support BJP and 26% will support BSP in upcoming elections. As per the poll, only 5% voters will support Congress. As per the poll SP is likely to win 141-151 seats, BJP (124-134), BSP (103-113) and Congress (8-14) seats.

    *The poll was conducted on 4000 people of UP in between 23 July to 7 August.

    Two polls are also conducted in the month of July and August who predicts the vote share of all four major parties contesting UP elections.

    ABVP-CSDS UP Opinion Poll

    Party Vote Share Projections (%)
    SP 30
    BJP 27
    BSP 26
    INC 5

    HuffingtonPost-CVoter Poll

    Party Vote Share Projections (%)
    SP 27.51
    BJP 27.79
    BSP 25.44
    INC 6.19

    Also Read Punjab Opinion Poll 2017

    These are just the predictions of UP 2017 elections and actual results of 2017 UP elections could be entirely different. Congress vote share might be increase tremendously after declaring their CM candidate Sheila Dixit. UP voters always play an important role in the politics of the country, so it is interesting to see the results of the Uttar Pradesh opinion poll 2016 in next year’s assembly elections.

    Check: Uttar Pradesh Elections 2017 and Constituencies List

    Related Info:-

    BSP Candidates List

    BJP Candidates List

    INC Candidates List

    SP Candidates List

    More Opinion Polls:

    Uttarakhand (UK) Elections Opinion Poll 2017

    Punjab Opinion Poll

    Goa Opinion Poll

    Manipur Opinion Poll

    8 thoughts on “Uttar Pradesh Opinion Poll 2017

    1. Peeyush Kumar September 17, 2016 at 15:35

      If we realy want that our country rise economically,our defence must improve,country should be cruption free we should give strenth to Narender Modi,he is a man whose total attention to make India self dependen and he is a good administrator but by heart is a sant.

    2. alka September 25, 2016 at 09:21

      Akhilesh yadav should be the next c.m.of u.p. The political parties don’t do anything for u.p.for so many years..even Gandhi family never come to see even Allahabad or its’ murti’ making mayawati with so many gundas in her party I don’t understand why people appreciate for good governance..she is like torture and so much of show off..even b.j.p.at there times did nothing for u.p.after seeing akhilesh’s work they say they will develop u.p.
      It was akhilesh and his powerful mind he gave us more medical colleges free medical check ups I.T CITY in Lucknow the express way ..large world class stadium in Lucknow and many more ..
      It was because of the political hands of his father that he might not have worked upto the mark but recent evidences showed that he will have important role in making decisions if he is selected again..
      Even beyond MY factor his thoughts are to get support of every caste ..
      He can do better if people thinking goes beyond caste barriers..

    3. Harishankar Tripathi October 14, 2016 at 09:39

      No doubt Akhilesh as the youngest CM has attracted all youth generation along with remarkable development in almost major and minor districts of UP. But I would suggest he should extend hand with BJP in rapid development of the country along with experience, dashing revolutionary, Sabka Saath Sab Ka Vikas idea of our great PM Narendra Modi . I believe he should get merge with BJP and take UP in leaps and bounce. Kick side the BSP and congress. As congress always keep country in debt and without any grow. Modiji brought India from Backest foot to the most front foot.
      Think not for self but for nation. After 60 yrs. nation feel fortunate to get service by NAMO.
      This is my folded hand request and thought.

    4. sumit sharma October 22, 2016 at 10:43

      2017 up election main bjp ko win hona hai toh ye Nara janta ko dena hoga — har Ghar se aayegi ek hi awaj abki bar yuva sarkar

    5. ranjeet November 24, 2016 at 13:14

      no doubts …….in 2017 up election ….akhilesh yadav will be next c.m …

    6. anand prakash khosya November 24, 2016 at 13:23

      In UP S P is single largest party in poll of 2017 assembly election

    7. hemant dubey November 26, 2016 at 23:17

      Agar jatibad aur parivarbad se upar uthkar rashtrabad ke marg par chalana h to bjp ko hi vote karna chahie

      • nikhil November 28, 2016 at 10:59

        hemant aap bhi toh jaatiwaad pe hi bol rhe ho.. aap kyu vote ni daal dete bsp ko.. jaatiwaad yeh hai ki aapki maansikta aisi ki kisi bhi lower ko vote na daalni

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