We can sense the heat of upcoming Punjab elections, which will be held in the first quarter of 2017. The ruling alliance Shiromani Akali Dal – Bharatiya Janata Party is expected to face very tough competition from Aam Aadmi Party (AAP). Punjab opinion polls are also suggests that AAP is a tough constetant. Out of total 117 assembly seats of Punjab, 59 seats are required to form the government. We have a question: who will win Punjab elections 2017? ; let’s try to find out the answer. The Aam Aadmi Party has declared that they will contest the upcoming Punjab elections in 2017, this announcement made the Punjab elections more interesting. As per the recently conducted Punjab opinion poll by HuffPost-C Voter in 2016, Aam Aadmi Party will win by a huge margin.
Latest Opinion Poll by ABP News-Lokniti CSDS
The Survey was conducted on 48 Assembly constituencies of Punjab between, 10 to 18 December 2016. As per the poll Shiromani Akali Dal and Bhartiya Janata Party alliance will get 50 to 58 seats with a vote share of 34%. Indian National Congress will manage to get 41 to 49 seats in upcoming polls which are scheduled to be on 4 February 2017. INC will fight the elections under the leadership of Captain Amarinder Singh and managed to get 31% vote share. Aam Aadmi Party will be on third spot and managed to get only 21 to 18 seats with 21% vote share.
Captain Amarinder Singh voted as most popular Chief Ministerial Candidate with 29 percent vote shares. Parkash Singh Badal managed to get second spot with 20% vote shares and AAP Bhagwant Mann remains on third spot with 8% votes.
Punjab Election Opinion Poll 2017 by TV24 India
The opinion poll conducted by TV24 India also suggests that AAP will be in majority in elections. Aam Aadmi Party is expected to win 70-80 seats out of 117 assembly seats. If the survey shows the exact scenario, AAP will form government in Punjab. The second party as per tally of seat is Congress with 27-35 seats. This number is not good enough to bring them in power. BJP is not very far from Congress and they have managed to secure 20-25 seats in the upcoming elections.
|Party||Seat Projection (Aug 2016)|
India Today-Axis Punjab Opinion Poll
As per latest opinion poll conducted by India Today-Axis (13 October 2016), Congress is going to be the biggest party in upcoming Punjab elections. INC will win 49-55 seats and AAP will win 42 to 46 seats. SAD and BJP alliance will be able to win 17 to 21 seats. Independent candidates might able to win 3 to 7 seats in polls. As per 76 percent respondent’s drug problem is a major issue in Punjab.
As per the opinion poll the Favorite CM Candidates are listed below:
|CM Candidate||Survey Percent|
|Parkash Singh Badal||25|
|Navjot Singh Sidhu||8|
|Sukhbir Singh Badal||3|
|Gurpreet Singh Ghuggi||3|
|Sucha Singh Chhotepur||1|
*India Today-Axis Opinion Poll is conducted on 6552 voters of 117 assembly constituencies.
Punjab Opinion Poll 2017 by HuffPost-C Voter
|Party / Alliance||Seat Projection (2015)||Seat Projection (March 2016)|
As per the Punjab opinion poll 2017 predictions, Aam Aadmi party is going to win around 100 seats in the elections. This will be a big turnaround for AAP if survey polls come out to be true in upcoming elections. The popularity of the AAP has increased as compared to an opinion poll conducted in 2015. There is a bad news for the INC, as per the predictions Indian National Congress is expected to win only 8 to 14 seats. The ruling party SAD and BJP seems to secure only 6 to 12 seats, which is a huge disappointment.
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Punjab Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates (October 2016)
|Party||Seats as per Survey||Vote Share|
Latest survey of Punjab opinion poll was conducted by VDPAssociates in October 2016. This helps us to get a better picture of the upcoming elections in Punjab. Latest survey suggests that AAP will lead in elections with a share of 93 seats. This shows that Arvind Kejriwal is a favourite of people of Punjab. Aam Aadmi Party seems to get a lot of positive response in the upcoming Punjab elections. According to the opinion poll, Congress will have to satisfy itself with a mere tally of 15 seats. NDA is far behind with a total of 6 seats, which is not a good share of seats. Others may bag 3 seats in the elections. The opinion poll clearly declares Aam Aadmi Party as the clear winner in the 2017 Punjab elections.
Punjab Elections Opinion Poll by VDPAssociates (July 2016)
|July 2016 Predictions||2012 Actual Data|
|Party||Seats||Vote %||Seats||Vote %|
VDPAssociates survey agency is also predicting that AAP is going to win 100 seats in Punjab Elections 2017 with a vote percentage of 46%.
Punjab Opinion Poll 2017 by India Trending Now
|Party||Seat Projection 2017||Vote %|
|Aam Aadmi Party (AAP)||85-89||39-43|
As per India Trending Now Punjab Survey Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party is the favourite party of Punjab and Arvind Kejriwal is the favourite CM. More than half of the voters of Punjab rated Mr. Arvind Kejriwal as best CM candidate.
Favourite CM Candidate for Punjab Elections 2017 by India Trending Now
|Captain Amarinder Singh||19%||INC|
|Parkash Singh Badal||10%||SAD|
|Sukhbir Singh Badal||6%||SAD|
The competition seems very interesting with the addition of AAP for the very first time time in Punjab elections. Most of the opinion polls conducted by various agencies shows AAP as a favourite party. BJP, INC and SAD has a big competitor in the elections and they seems to be struggling to get enough support. Drug abuse, corruption and unemployment are the three major issues in Punjab elections. All the political parties are trying to use these issues to get the trust of the voters. Punjab opinion polls gives an initial picture of the scenario but they are just the predictions, which are surveyed on a small sample of voters. The fate of candidates will be decided by the votes of the people of Punjab.
Opinion Polls 2017